Cincinnati
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 77.6189Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Nebraska B10 ( 7- 6, 78.3) 17-20 906 H Bowl. Green MIDA ( 4- 8, 64.0) 34-20 913 H NW State 70- 0 927 A Kansas B12 ( 5- 7, 77.3) 37-34 1004 H Iowa St B12 ( 7- 4, 81.0) 38-30 1011 H UCF B12 ( 4- 8, 70.0) 20-11 1018 A Oklahoma St B12 ( 2-10, 66.8) 49-17 1025 H Baylor B12 ( 4- 8, 73.4) 41-20 1101 A Utah B12 (11- 2, 90.0) 14-45 1115 H Arizona B12 ( 9- 3, 84.6) 24-30 1122 H BYU B12 (12- 2, 91.0) 14-26 1129 A TCU B12 ( 9- 4, 84.0) 23-45
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 H Nebraska 17-20 -3 5 --- -7.59
906 H Bowl. Green 34-20 14 19 0.00
927 A Kansas 37-34 3 -5 +++ 7.92
1004 H Iowa St 38-30 8 2 +++ 6.11
1011 H UCF 20-11 9 13 - -3.88
1018 A Oklahoma St 49-17 32 6 +++ 8.41
1025 H Baylor 41-20 21 10 ++ 4.48
1101 A Utah 14-45 -31 -18 0.00
1115 H Arizona 24-30 -6 -2 -- -4.25
1122 H BYU 14-26 -12 -8 - -3.87
1129 A TCU 23-45 -22 -12 - -2.39
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 828 H Nebraska 17-20 -3 5 --- -7.59 1115 H Arizona 24-30 -6 -2 -- -4.25 1011 H UCF 20-11 9 13 - -3.88 1122 H BYU 14-26 -12 -8 - -3.87 1129 A TCU 23-45 -22 -12 - -2.39 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 927 A Kansas 37-34 3 -5 +++ 7.92 1004 H Iowa St 38-30 8 2 +++ 6.11 1018 A Oklahoma St 49-17 32 6 +++ 8.41 1025 H Baylor 41-20 21 10 ++ 4.48 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Nebraska ( 7- 6, 78.3) 17-20 -21.62 29.60 -5.26 1.16 -15.58
3 H Bowl. Green ( 4- 8, 64.0) 34-20 -35.94 15.28 -5.26 1.16 23.23
3 A Kansas ( 5- 7, 77.3) 37-34 -22.62 28.60 5.26 1.16 78.49
3 H Iowa St ( 7- 4, 81.0) 38-30 -18.92 32.30 -5.26 1.16 62.69
3 H UCF ( 4- 8, 70.0) 20-11 -29.91 21.31 -5.26 1.16 37.22
3 A Oklahoma St ( 2-10, 66.8) 49-17 -33.14 18.08 5.26 1.16 54.11
3 H Baylor ( 4- 8, 73.4) 41-20 -26.55 24.67 -5.26 1.16 45.01
3 A Utah (11- 2, 90.0) 14-45 -9.86 41.36 5.26 1.16 -2.66
3 H Arizona ( 9- 3, 84.6) 24-30 -15.27 35.95 -5.26 1.16 -11.90
3 H BYU (12- 2, 91.0) 14-26 -8.89 42.33 -5.26 1.16 -8.20
3 A TCU ( 9- 4, 84.0) 23-45 -15.93 35.29 5.26 1.16 -6.18
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256.23
|
winning pts = 300.7505 losing points = -44.5249
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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